tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Sarasota/Bradenton via New York: arrives on time 62%

  1. 08:15 DCA → 09:33 LGA
    DL 5772 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 LGA → 13:33 SRQ
    DL 2412 · Delta · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 19mDCA 08:15 to SRQ 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.