tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Austin via Nashville: arrives on time 69%

  1. 15:05 DCA → 16:16 BNA
    DL 5777 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 76% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 BNA → 21:16 AUS
    DL 3945 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 75% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 14mDCA 15:05 to AUS 21:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.