tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Tampa via Nashville: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:00 DCA → 10:58 BNA
    DL 5783 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:30 BNA → 16:24 TPA
    AA 3823 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 24mDCA 10:00 to TPA 16:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.