tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Baltimore via Boston: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:20 CVG → 19:45 BOS
    DL 5789 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BOS → 22:29 BWI
    DL 5851 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 04mCVG 17:20 to BWI 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.