tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Washington via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:15 JAX → 08:38 LGA
    DL 5797 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 23m · 89% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 02mJAX 06:15 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.