tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Boston: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:30 JFK → 19:14 BOS
    DL 5798 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 63% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BOS → 23:35 JAX
    DL 5593 · Delta, flown by Republic · 3h 05m · 71% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 05mJFK 17:30 to JAX 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.