tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Baltimore via Boston: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:30 JFK → 19:14 BOS
    DL 5798 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 63% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BOS → 22:29 BWI
    DL 5851 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 54mJFK 17:30 to BWI 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.