tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Rochester via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:06 DCA → 07:25 JFK
    DL 5802 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 93% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 JFK → 10:53 ROC
    DL 5330 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 33m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 47mDCA 06:06 to ROC 10:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.