tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:06 DCA → 07:25 JFK
    DL 5802 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 93% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 JFK → 11:27 ORF
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 84% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 21mDCA 06:06 to ORF 11:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.