tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Francisco via New York: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:06 DCA → 07:25 JFK
    DL 5802 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 93% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 JFK → 14:36 SFO
    DL 363 · Delta · 6h 21m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 11h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip11h 30mDCA 06:06 to SFO 14:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.