tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via New York: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:06 DCA → 07:25 JFK
    DL 5802 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 93% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 4h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 JFK → 14:02 LAS
    DL 807 · Delta · 5h 32m · 82% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 200 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 05m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 56mDCA 06:06 to LAS 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.