tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Martha's Vineyard via New York: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:06 DCA → 07:25 JFK
    DL 5802 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 93% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 JFK → 12:38 MVY
    DL 5859 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 32mDCA 06:06 to MVY 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.