tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:20 ACK → 16:40 JFK
    DL 5804 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 67% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 JFK → 23:03 CLT
    DL 5036 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 33m · 72% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 42mACK 15:20 to CLT 23:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.