tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 34%

  1. 13:35 BOS → 15:10 JFK
    DL 5808 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 JFK → 17:56 ORF
    DL 5856 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 64% on time, 9.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (9.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 21mBOS 13:35 to ORF 17:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.