tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → New York via Norfolk: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:20 BOS → 11:11 ORF
    DL 5809 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Norfolk (ORF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:07 ORF → 13:44 JFK
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 24mBOS 09:20 to JFK 13:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.