tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:04 CMH → 09:15 DTW
    DL 5812 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 11m · 95% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:16 SFO
    DL 469 · Delta · 5h 01m · 70% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 12mCMH 08:04 to SFO 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.