tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:05 BOS → 18:43 JFK
    DL 5814 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 66% on time, 8.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 JFK → 22:05 BNA
    DL 4908 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 74% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (8.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 49mBOS 17:05 to BNA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.