tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via New York: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:43 MVY → 17:03 LGA
    DL 5822 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 76% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 22:33 BOS
    DL 5751 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 68% on time, 27.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (27.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 50mMVY 15:43 to BOS 22:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.