tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via New York: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:43 MVY → 17:03 LGA
    DL 5822 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 76% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 LGA → 21:31 BOS
    DL 5850 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 60% on time, 18.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (18.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 48mMVY 15:43 to BOS 21:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.