tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 56%

  1. 10:35 RIC → 11:57 LGA
    DL 5822 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 79% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 LGA → 14:51 DTW
    DL 1122 · Delta · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 16mRIC 10:35 to DTW 14:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.