tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas-Fort Worth via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 DTW → 14:32 DFW
    DL 1041 · Delta · 2h 49m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 44mSDF 07:50 to DFW 14:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.