tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:00 LGA
    DL 1669 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 10mSDF 07:50 to LGA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.