tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:46 PHL
    DL 2331 · Delta · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip3h 59mSDF 07:50 to PHL 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.