tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DTW → 13:14 MSP
    DL 2697 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 24mSDF 07:50 to MSP 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.