tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Atlanta via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 DTW → 12:25 ATL
    DL 2856 · Delta · 1h 58m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 33mSDF 07:50 to ATL 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.