tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 DTW → 13:36 LAS
    DL 421 · Delta · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 45mSDF 07:50 to LAS 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.