tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Baltimore via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:50 DTW → 14:26 BWI
    F9 1516 · Frontier · 1h 36m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 36mSDF 07:50 to BWI 14:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.