tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:50 SDF → 09:16 DTW
    DL 5824 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:58 DTW → 14:40 PHL
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 49mSDF 07:50 to PHL 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.