tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Huntsville via New York: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:05 CLT → 19:12 LGA
    DL 5828 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 60% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 LGA → 22:12 HSV
    DL 5040 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 11.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (11.2% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 07mCLT 17:05 to HSV 22:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.