tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Hebron via New York: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:05 CLT → 19:12 LGA
    DL 5828 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 60% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 LGA → 22:35 CVG
    DL 5517 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 25m · 60% on time, 11.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (11.6% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 30mCLT 17:05 to CVG 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.