tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Baltimore via Boston: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:10 EWR → 16:40 BOS
    DL 5829 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 68% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BOS → 22:29 BWI
    DL 5851 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 14mEWR 15:10 to BWI 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.