tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:00 BOS → 19:31 LGA
    DL 5831 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 65% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 LGA → 22:52 ORF
    DL 5332 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 63% on time, 16.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (16.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 52mBOS 18:00 to ORF 22:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.