tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Savannah via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:29 IAD → 13:58 JFK
    DL 5835 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 42% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:50 JFK → 17:31 SAV
    DL 5460 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 40m · 79% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 01mIAD 12:29 to SAV 17:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.