tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:20 LGA
    DL 5836 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 LGA → 10:24 RDU
    DL 4666 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 53m · 75% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 28mBOS 06:00 to RDU 10:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.