tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:20 LGA
    DL 5836 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 LGA → 09:51 ORF
    DL 5333 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 34m · 74% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip3h 59mBOS 06:00 to ORF 09:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.