tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:20 LGA
    DL 5836 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:29 LGA → 11:08 ORF
    AA 4473 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 08mBOS 06:00 to ORF 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.