tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 12:22 SYR → 13:38 LGA
    DL 5841 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 16m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:29 LGA → 16:34 DTW
    DL 308 · Delta · 2h 05m · 79% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 12mSYR 12:22 to DTW 16:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.