tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Boston: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:30 PHL → 10:59 BOS
    DL 5845 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 90% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:05 BOS → 16:38 TVC
    DL 5821 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 33m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 08mPHL 09:30 to TVC 16:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.