tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 10:20 LGA
    DL 5847 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 LGA → 14:51 DTW
    DL 1122 · Delta · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 51mMSN 07:00 to DTW 14:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.