tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 60%

  1. 11:55 TVC → 14:15 BOS
    DL 5861 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 BOS → 17:43 DCA
    DL 5689 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 69% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 48mTVC 11:55 to DCA 17:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.