tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Boston: arrives on time 58%

  1. 11:55 TVC → 14:15 BOS
    DL 5861 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 BOS → 19:31 LGA
    DL 5831 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 65% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 36mTVC 11:55 to LGA 19:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.