Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:46 pm at Dallas-Fort Worth); 1 already left

Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 2467 at 18:50, with a 54% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 2467 American Flight history →	DFW 18:50	PBI 22:45	54%	27%	5.5%	61%worse than usual

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DFW 15:57 → CLT 19:45AA 2407	3h 11m Charlotte	CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764	7h 54m	89%	46%
Delta Details →	DFW 16:23 → ATL 19:34DL 921	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065	7h 28m	100%	45%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414	3h 16m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606	7h 32m	91%	35%
United Details →	DFW 13:00 → EWR 17:37UA 1574	2h 42m Newark	EWR 20:19 → PBI 23:28UA 2650	9h 28m	84%	33%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DFW 15:57 → CLT 19:45AA 2407	1h 05m Charlotte	CLT 20:50 → PBI 22:44AA 1912	5h 47m	48%	24%
American Details →	DFW 14:25 → PHL 18:52AA 1100	58m Philadelphia	PHL 19:50 → PBI 22:40AA 3145	7h 15m	42%	18%
Delta Details →	DFW 16:23 → ATL 19:34DL 921	56m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606	4h 59m	27%	10%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON