Sun, Oct 4 has passed, so this is the 12-month record.

Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s PVD → MSP flights land within a few points of 4 in 5 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Delta	PVD	MSP	3h 08m	80%	0.0%	94	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Providence). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


United Details →	PVD 05:50 → IAD 07:29UA 6192 · flown by Mesa	1h 16m Dulles	IAD 08:45 → MSP 10:28UA 1998	5h 38m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:34DL 1023	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 12:21 → MSP 13:57DL 2901	8h 57m	98%	82%
American Details →	PVD 07:07 → ORD 08:59AA 360	2h 46m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → MSP 13:27AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	7h 20m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	PVD 08:41 → ATL 11:17DL 2840	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:09DL 2825	8h 28m	98%	79%
American Details →	PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585	3h 00m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153	7h 51m	97%	79%
American Details →	PVD 06:16 → PHL 07:40AA 1008	3h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 10:40 → MSP 12:38AA 5658 · flown by PSA	7h 22m	100%	77%
United Details →	PVD 06:00 → ORD 08:00UA 5786 · flown by SkyWest	50m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 36m	89%	77%
Delta Details →	PVD 05:30 → DTW 07:40DL 3626 · flown by SkyWest	1h 20m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:55DL 2258	5h 25m	89%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	PVD 17:00 → DTW 19:12DL 4040 · flown by SkyWest	53m Detroit	DTW 20:05 → MSP 21:00DL 1303	5h 00m	63%	40%
United Details →	PVD 17:00 → ORD 19:03UA 5702 · flown by SkyWest	54m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005	5h 41m	72%	36%
Southwest Details →	PVD 19:00 → MDW 20:30WN 3410	1h 00m Chicago	MDW 21:30 → MSP 23:00WN 4085	5h 00m	57%	30%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

IAD · 1h 16m · leaves 05:50 3%

MDW · 1h 10m · leaves 07:40 5%

ATL · 1h 04m · leaves 08:41 9%

Afternoon and evening

DTW · 53m · leaves 17:00 37%

MDW · 1h 00m · leaves 19:00 43%

DCA · 50m · leaves 17:33 49%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


United UA 5786 PVD 06:00 → ORD American AA 3719 ORD 11:45 → MSP Connection details →	3h 45m	8h 27m	97%	87%
Southwest WN 4869 PVD 07:00 → MCO Delta DL 1730 MCO 11:17 → MSP Connection details →	1h 32m	7h 46m	94%	83%
American AA 1008 PVD 06:16 → PHL Delta DL 2688 PHL 11:40 → MSP Connection details →	4h 00m	8h 09m	100%	76%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON