tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2951 Southwest ABQ 12:50 BNA 16:35 18% 3% 0.6% no record
WN 285 Southwest Flight history → ABQ 12:25 BNA 16:05 18% 3% 0.5% 60%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:20 → AUS 08:05WN 4683 2h 25m Austin AUS 10:30 → BNA 12:37WN 271 6h 17m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:46 → BNA 13:32UA 355 7h 02m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:20 → DEN 06:45WN 117 55m Denver DEN 07:40 → BNA 11:13WN 1544 4h 53m 96% 86%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:50 → DAL 08:35WN 2559 1h 25m Dallas DAL 10:00 → BNA 11:50WN 5062 5h 00m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535 3h 25m Minneapolis MSP 15:29 → BNA 17:35DL 2612 8h 05m 97% 85%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 06:30 → MDW 10:15WN 4776 1h 35m Chicago MDW 11:50 → BNA 13:21WN 549 5h 51m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 07:30 → DEN 08:50WN 2384 1h 33m Denver DEN 10:23 → BNA 13:56WN 1545 5h 26m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:45 → HOU 09:01WN 127 1h 59m Houston HOU 11:00 → BNA 12:55WN 1955 6h 10m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 14:05 → AUS 16:50WN 66 50m Austin AUS 17:40 → BNA 19:50WN 261 4h 45m 70% 52%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 10:40 → PHX 11:00WN 147 50m Phoenix PHX 11:50 → BNA 17:05WN 4328 5h 25m 62% 47%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 14:33 → DFW 17:27AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:18 → BNA 20:17AA 1076 4h 44m 64% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON