tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 103 Southwest Flight history → ABQ 09:55 BWI 15:40 9% 2% 0.6% 96%
WN 4381 Southwest ABQ 11:40 BWI 17:22 16% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535 2h 37m Minneapolis MSP 14:41 → BWI 18:15DL 2565 7h 45m 98% 89%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 06:30 → MDW 10:15WN 4776 2h 30m Chicago MDW 12:45 → BWI 15:42WN 2848 7h 12m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:46 → BWI 15:17UA 1362 7h 47m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 6h 53m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 06:00 → SFO 07:36UA 538 1h 57m San Francisco SFO 09:33 → BWI 17:57UA 2664 9h 57m 97% 87%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:20 → AUS 08:05WN 4683 55m Austin AUS 09:00 → BWI 13:07WN 2443 5h 47m 95% 86%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 18:40 → DEN 20:05WN 882 3h 45m Denver DEN 23:50 → BWI 05:15 +1WN 1501 8h 35m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:45 → HOU 09:00WN 127 2h 50m Houston HOU 11:50 → BWI 15:55WN 1960 8h 10m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → ABQ 06:00 → SEA 08:10AS 1529 53m Seattle SEA 09:03 → BWI 17:04AS 378 9h 04m 59% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON