tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AS 426 at 14:55, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
AS 426 Alaska ABQ 14:55 PDX 16:56 10% 4% 0.7% no record
AS 2269 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record ABQ 11:34 PDX 13:35 7% 2% 0.3% 93%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:20 → DEN 06:45WN 117 1h 46m Denver DEN 08:31 → PDX 10:14WN 3459 5h 54m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m Denver DEN 08:05 → PDX 09:47UA 1247 5h 17m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 18:10 → SLC 19:58DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 6h 34m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621 3h 04m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 7h 09m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 31m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 5h 15m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 06:00 → SFO 07:36UA 538 46m San Francisco SFO 08:22 → PDX 10:20UA 2265 5h 20m 93% 83%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 12:25 → SLC 14:11DL 4084 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → PDX 18:18DL 1238 6h 53m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest 2h 51m Los Angeles LAX 10:00 → PDX 12:20DL 2766 7h 20m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 18:10 → PHX 18:30WN 4557 1h 05m Phoenix PHX 19:35 → PDX 22:23WN 3469 5h 13m 70% 38%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 13:15 → LAS 13:50WN 170 50m Las Vegas LAS 14:40 → PDX 16:55WN 2126 4h 40m 55% 36%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 19:18 → PHX 19:38AA 1351 47m Phoenix PHX 20:25 → PDX 23:08AA 561 4h 50m 58% 31%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON