tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Southwest via Denver, leaving 06:25, is the safest bet: 93% chance of reaching Bozeman on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 406 Delta Flight history → ATL 11:09 BZN 13:11 9% 2% 0.7% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ATL 06:25 → DEN 07:30WN 2114 1h 11m Denver DEN 08:41 → BZN 10:26WN 2178 6h 01m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 2h 59m Minneapolis MSP 13:17 → BZN 14:47DL 2946 8h 03m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830 3h 36m Salt Lake City SLC 13:50 → BZN 15:13DL 3906 · flown by SkyWest 8h 58m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 3h 30m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → BZN 18:44DL 3676 · flown by SkyWest 8h 48m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327 2h 47m Denver DEN 15:15 → BZN 17:10UA 6030 · flown by SkyWest 8h 00m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → ATL 07:30 → DEN 08:51UA 340 2h 41m Denver DEN 11:32 → BZN 13:20UA 1248 7h 50m 98% 88%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 08:00 → MDW 08:55WN 1270 2h 05m Chicago MDW 11:00 → BZN 13:10WN 1139 7h 10m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → ATL 14:38 → SEA 16:49DL 481 3h 10m Seattle SEA 19:59 → BZN 22:49DL 4039 · flown by SkyWest 10h 11m 100% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON