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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:20 am at Atlanta)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 40%, against 19% on a calm day. Safest: DL 2427 at 11:30, 31%.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2427 Delta Flight history → ATL 11:30 COS 12:32 31% 4% 0.2% 83%worse than usual
DL 971 Delta Flight history → ATL 19:59 COS 21:07 49% 8% 0.2% 71%worse than usual

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 3h 41m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 9h 25m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 3h 41m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 9h 21m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 09:30 → DEN 10:40WN 202 2h 35m Denver DEN 13:15 → COS 14:03WN 3896 6h 33m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 10:00 → MDW 11:00WN 224 1h 30m Chicago MDW 12:30 → COS 14:00WN 1230 6h 00m 95% 80%
UnitedDetails → ATL 15:57 → IAH 17:23UA 3992 · flown by Mesa 2h 29m Houston IAH 19:52 → COS 21:29UA 6126 · flown by Mesa 7h 32m 93% 77%
UnitedDetails → ATL 15:30 → ORD 16:57UA 516 2h 48m Chicago ORD 19:45 → COS 21:55UA 4638 · flown by SkyWest 8h 25m 90% 71%
UnitedDetails → ATL 16:22 → DEN 18:06UA 235 3h 04m Denver DEN 21:10 → COS 22:06UA 4650 · flown by SkyWest 7h 44m 95% 68%
UnitedDetails → ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327 3h 07m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 7h 22m 96% 64%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → ATL 20:10 → LAS 21:30WN 210 55m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → COS 01:20 +1WN 2214 7h 10m 57% 44%
SouthwestDetails → ATL 18:20 → DEN 19:40WN 3002 1h 15m Denver DEN 20:55 → COS 21:50WN 3811 5h 30m 61% 43%
AmericanDetails → ATL 11:24 → DFW 12:55AA 820 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:52 → COS 14:53AA 1170 5h 29m 58% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON