Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 3:42 pm at Hartford); 5 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2735 Delta Flight history →	BDL 19:10	ATL 21:54	22%	5%	0.5%	83%
DL 2739 Delta Flight history →	BDL 17:21	ATL 20:14	24%	5%	0.5%	81%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 17:05 → DTW 19:15DL 2814	3h 36m Detroit	DTW 22:51 → ATL 00:54 +1DL 9963	7h 49m	99%	84%
United Details →	BDL 16:55 → ORD 18:44UA 2627	1h 25m Chicago	ORD 20:09 → ATL 23:30UA 2770	6h 35m	85%	71%
Southwest Details →	BDL 17:10 → BWI 18:35WN 4075	1h 45m Baltimore	BWI 20:20 → ATL 22:15WN 4626	5h 05m	91%	59%
American Details →	BDL 19:09 → PHL 20:33AA 5811 · flown by Piedmont	1h 25m Philadelphia	PHL 21:58 → ATL 00:15 +1AA 443	5h 06m	96%	55%
American Details →	BDL 17:28 → CLT 19:45AA 1443	3h 08m Charlotte	CLT 22:53 → ATL 00:09 +1AA 1656	6h 41m	90%	54%
American Details →	BDL 16:25 → CLT 18:16AA 2741	2h 11m Charlotte	CLT 20:27 → ATL 21:48AA 5498 · flown by PSA	5h 23m	91%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON