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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:58 am at Billings)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 3 nonstops

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Every nonstop today

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.

AS 2247 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record BIL 06:00 SEA 07:12 6% 4% 0.0% 94%
AS 2055 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record BIL 13:45 SEA 14:55 13% 4% 0.0% 87%
AS 2084 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record BIL 19:22 SEA 20:35 16% 3% 0.9% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON